Welcome sivlersnake, I think I would go with the 15 or maybe even a 13, I think you'll struggle to get into the recommended RPM range with any more pitch than that. On my 1998 Tracker 19 footer with a Mariner 75 ELPTO 2 stroke (same motor as yours) I ran a 13, but I was always running the boat loaded down with gear and bait tanks. I don't think your speed will change a whole lot, but you'll get into that 5000+ RPM range where you want to run that motor.
I ran a 4 blade 13 pitch comprop on that motor for years with excellent performance. If I could get one for my current OMC 50 HP I would.
Welcome again and enjoy your new boat and the pontoon experience.
2006 Forester 19 Fish (new deck and carpet, Pontoonstuff interior, 2019)
1996 Mercury 50 ELPT4S
1983 Sea Nymph FM171 Striper (complete rebuild from hull up, 2014)
1985 Johnson 70 J70ELCO
Raystown Country, PA